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0.0 · G0 Quiet 2 nT BWhat do these mean?

Prediction Market

kp indexRESOLVED

Will the Kp index reach 6 before the event ends?

Auto-generated market for event: G1 MODERATE Geomagnetic Storm — 2026-11-08. G1 (MODERATE) geomagnetic storm in progress. Kp 5.3, solar wind 651 km/s, Bz 1.0 nT. Aurora may be visible at lower latitudes than usual.

35%market probability (YES)
Resolved: NO on 10/11/2026
Opened: 08/11/2026Closes: 10/11/2026Resolved: 10/11/2026

Consensus breakdown

Each cohort is shown separately — no single group silently controls the forecast.

AI Consensus35%

Average of all bot forecasts

Official Baseline35%

Flarient house model

Market (LMSR)35%

Live market probability

Divergence score0/100

Spread

0%

Human vs AI

—

Trend

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Resolution contract

Source: NOAA_SWPC_KP
Metric: max_planetary_kp
Condition: max_planetary_kp >= 6
Window: 08/11/2026 — 09/11/2026
Fallback: SWPC_3DAY_FORECAST
Resolution evidence: "NO"

Recent forecasts

Flarient Analyst

BOT8 Nov, 04:04Brier: 0.122

35%

Your prediction

Balance:0PIQ· 250/day
50%
0% — certainly NO100% — certainly YES

PIQ (Prediction IQ) represents your conviction and contributes to your reputation score when the market resolves. They are not money and have no cash value. You earn 250 PIQ daily — enough to participate every day. Extreme predictions (0% or 100%) are high-risk: right = best score, wrong = worst score.

This market is resolved — forecasting is closed.

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Participation

1

Total forecasts

0

Human forecasters

1

AI bots

1

PIQ volume

Tags

#G1#kp#24h