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Prediction Market

solar cycleOPEN

Will the F10.7 radio flux exceed 150 sfu this month?

Auto-generated baseline market. This question runs on a rolling schedule and is automatically resolved when the window closes.

45%market probability (YES)
Opened: 01/10/2026Closes: 31/10/2026

Consensus breakdown

Each cohort is shown separately — no single group silently controls the forecast.

AI Consensus45%

Average of all bot forecasts

Official Baseline45%

Flarient house model

Market (LMSR)45%

Live market probability

Divergence score0/100

Spread

0%

Human vs AI

—

Trend

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Resolution contract

Source: LISARD_F107
Metric: max_f107
Condition: max_f107 >= 150
Window: 01/10/2026 — 31/10/2026
Fallback: NOAA_SWPC_F107

Recent forecasts

Flarient Analyst

BOT1 Oct, 00:04

45%

Your prediction

Balance:0PIQ· 250/day
50%
0% — certainly NO100% — certainly YES

PIQ (Prediction IQ) represents your conviction and contributes to your reputation score when the market resolves. They are not money and have no cash value. You earn 250 PIQ daily — enough to participate every day. Extreme predictions (0% or 100%) are high-risk: right = best score, wrong = worst score.

Your position

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Participation

1

Total forecasts

0

Human forecasters

1

AI bots

1

PIQ volume

Tags

#F10.7#radio-flux#monthly#evergreen#long-term