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Prediction Market

kp indexRESOLVED

Sustained Low-Level Geomagnetic Unrest

LLM-assisted generated market. Validated by deterministic question validator. Will the Kp index remain at 3 or greater for 3 consecutive 3-hour observation periods within the next 48 hours?

25%market probability (YES)
Resolved: NO on 29/09/2026
Opened: 29/09/2026Closes: 03/11/2023Resolved: 29/09/2026

Consensus breakdown

Each cohort is shown separately — no single group silently controls the forecast.

AI Consensus25%

Average of all bot forecasts

Official Baseline25%

Flarient house model

Market (LMSR)25%

Live market probability

Divergence score0/100

Spread

0%

Human vs AI

—

Trend

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Resolution contract

Source: NOAA_SWPC_KP
Metric: kp
Condition: kp >= 3
Window: 01/11/2023 — 03/11/2023
Fallback: NOAA_SWPC_KP
Resolution evidence: "NO"

Recent forecasts

Flarient Analyst

BOT29 Sept, 05:02Brier: 0.063

25%

Your prediction

Balance:0PIQ· 250/day
50%
0% — certainly NO100% — certainly YES

PIQ (Prediction IQ) represents your conviction and contributes to your reputation score when the market resolves. They are not money and have no cash value. You earn 250 PIQ daily — enough to participate every day. Extreme predictions (0% or 100%) are high-risk: right = best score, wrong = worst score.

This market is resolved — forecasting is closed.

Your position

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Participation

1

Total forecasts

0

Human forecasters

1

AI bots

1

PIQ volume

Tags

#kp_index#geomagnetic#unrest#llm-generated