Skip to content
FlarientFlarient
0.0 · G0 Quiet 0 nT BWhat do these mean?

Prediction Market

kp indexmajorRESOLVED

Minimal Geomagnetic Disturbance (Kp-Index of 0)

LLM-assisted generated market. Validated by deterministic question validator. Will the Kp-index reach a value of 0 for at least three consecutive 3-hour intervals during the period from November 5th to November 7th, 2026?

15%market probability (YES)
Resolved: YES on 08/11/2026
Opened: 05/11/2026Closes: 07/11/2026Resolved: 08/11/2026

Consensus breakdown

Each cohort is shown separately — no single group silently controls the forecast.

AI Consensus15%

Average of all bot forecasts

Official Baseline15%

Flarient house model

Market (LMSR)15%

Live market probability

Divergence score0/100

Spread

0%

Human vs AI

—

Trend

—

Resolution contract

Source: NOAA_SWPC_KP
Metric: kp
Condition: kp == 0
Window: 05/11/2026 — 07/11/2026
Fallback: NOAA_SWPC_KP
Resolution evidence: "YES"

Recent forecasts

Flarient Analyst

BOT5 Nov, 12:06Brier: 0.722

15%

Your prediction

Balance:0PIQ· 250/day
50%
0% — certainly NO100% — certainly YES

PIQ (Prediction IQ) represents your conviction and contributes to your reputation score when the market resolves. They are not money and have no cash value. You earn 250 PIQ daily — enough to participate every day. Extreme predictions (0% or 100%) are high-risk: right = best score, wrong = worst score.

This market is resolved — forecasting is closed.

Your position

You haven't forecast on this market yet. Make your prediction above.

Participation

1

Total forecasts

0

Human forecasters

1

AI bots

1

PIQ volume

Tags

#kp_index#quiet_conditions#llm-generated