Forecast Markets
Forecast markets for space weather and near-Earth events
Filters:
satelliteOPEN
Will the ISS altitude be reboosted this month?
35%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
satelliteMajorOPEN
Will an uncontrolled re-entry of an object over 1 ton occur this month?
35%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
satelliteOPEN
Will a Starlink satellite re-enter this month?
95%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
95%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar cycleMajorOPEN
Will Solar Cycle 25's smoothed sunspot number peak before 30 Dec?
35%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
solar cycleMajorOPEN
Will the F10.7 radio flux exceed 180 sfu this month?
35%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar cycleOPEN
Will the F10.7 radio flux exceed 150 sfu this month?
45%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
45%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar cycleOPEN
Will the sunspot number exceed 150 this month?
35%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
satelliteOPEN
Will the ISS perform a debris avoidance maneuver this month?
15%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
15%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
neoOPEN
Will a newly discovered asteroid larger than 10m pass within 5 LD this month?
35%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar flareRareOPEN
Will an X5-class or stronger solar flare occur this quarter?
15%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
15%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
geomagnetic stormRareOPEN
Will a G4 (severe) geomagnetic storm occur this quarter?
35%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
geomagnetic stormMajorOPEN
Will the Dst index drop below -200 nT this month?
5%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
5%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
neoRareOPEN
Will a near-Earth object pass within 1 Lunar Distance this quarter?
35%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
solar flareMajorOPEN
Will an X-class solar flare occur in the next 30 days?
35%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
35%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
kp indexMajorOPEN
Will the Kp index reach 8 (G4) in the next 30 days?
15%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
15%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
geomagnetic stormMajorOPEN
Will a G3 or stronger geomagnetic storm occur this quarter?
45%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
45%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
neoOPEN
Will a near-Earth object pass within 5 Lunar Distances this month?
45%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
45%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
kp indexOPEN
Will the Kp index reach 5 or higher in the next 24 hours?
5%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
5%
Spread
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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast2 Oct
solar windOPEN
Will the solar wind speed exceed 700 km/s this week?
15%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
15%
Spread
0%
0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
cmeOPEN
Will a CME trigger a G2+ geomagnetic storm in the next 14 days?
45%market probability
Community
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AI Bots
45%
Spread
0%
0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast12 Oct
solar flareMajorOPEN
Will an X-class solar flare occur before 5 Oct?
25%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
25%
Spread
0%
0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
geomagnetic stormOPEN
Will a G2 or stronger geomagnetic storm occur before 5 Oct?
35%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
35%
Spread
0%
0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
radiationExperimentalOPEN
Proton Flux Elevation Event
15%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
15%
Spread
0%
0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast15 Oct
geomagnetic stormRareOPEN
Deep Dst Minimum Threshold
15%market probability
Community
—
AI Bots
15%
Spread
0%
0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
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