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Forecast Markets

Forecast markets for space weather and near-Earth events

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satelliteOPEN

Will the ISS altitude be reboosted this month?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
satelliteMajorOPEN

Will an uncontrolled re-entry of an object over 1 ton occur this month?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
satelliteOPEN

Will a Starlink satellite re-enter this month?

95%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

95%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar cycleMajorOPEN

Will Solar Cycle 25's smoothed sunspot number peak before 30 Dec?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
solar cycleMajorOPEN

Will the F10.7 radio flux exceed 180 sfu this month?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar cycleOPEN

Will the F10.7 radio flux exceed 150 sfu this month?

45%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

45%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar cycleOPEN

Will the sunspot number exceed 150 this month?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
satelliteOPEN

Will the ISS perform a debris avoidance maneuver this month?

15%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

15%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
neoOPEN

Will a newly discovered asteroid larger than 10m pass within 5 LD this month?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
solar flareRareOPEN

Will an X5-class or stronger solar flare occur this quarter?

15%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

15%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
geomagnetic stormRareOPEN

Will a G4 (severe) geomagnetic storm occur this quarter?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
geomagnetic stormMajorOPEN

Will the Dst index drop below -200 nT this month?

5%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

5%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
neoRareOPEN

Will a near-Earth object pass within 1 Lunar Distance this quarter?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
solar flareMajorOPEN

Will an X-class solar flare occur in the next 30 days?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
kp indexMajorOPEN

Will the Kp index reach 8 (G4) in the next 30 days?

15%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

15%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
geomagnetic stormMajorOPEN

Will a G3 or stronger geomagnetic storm occur this quarter?

45%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

45%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast30 Dec
neoOPEN

Will a near-Earth object pass within 5 Lunar Distances this month?

45%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

45%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast31 Oct
kp indexOPEN

Will the Kp index reach 5 or higher in the next 24 hours?

5%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

5%

Spread

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0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast2 Oct
solar windOPEN

Will the solar wind speed exceed 700 km/s this week?

15%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

15%

Spread

0%

0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
cmeOPEN

Will a CME trigger a G2+ geomagnetic storm in the next 14 days?

45%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

45%

Spread

0%

0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast12 Oct
solar flareMajorOPEN

Will an X-class solar flare occur before 5 Oct?

25%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

25%

Spread

0%

0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
geomagnetic stormOPEN

Will a G2 or stronger geomagnetic storm occur before 5 Oct?

35%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

35%

Spread

0%

0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
radiationExperimentalOPEN

Proton Flux Elevation Event

15%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

15%

Spread

0%

0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast15 Oct
geomagnetic stormRareOPEN

Deep Dst Minimum Threshold

15%market probability

Community

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AI Bots

15%

Spread

0%

0 forecasters 1 bot 1 forecast5 Oct
Showing 24 of more